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In the third quarter of 2006, manufacturing
production grew from the same period last year by
6.3 per cent, which is a level close to that of the
previous quarter. The main drivers were the industries
which export more than 60 per cent of production and
the industries which produce mainly for domestic sales.
Industries that produce for both export and domestic
sales decelerated by a great extent. The capacity
utilization rate in the third quarter of 2006 was
at 73.9 per cent, comparable to the previous quarter
of 73.8 per cent.
The Private Consumption Index (PCI)
increased by 2.0 per cent, improving from the second
quarter. Indicators which expanded well were the quantity
of passenger car sales, the quantity of domestic electrical
consumption, as well as the quantity of benzene and
gasohol usage, which reverted back to moderation after
a period of continual decrease earlier on.
The Private Investment Index (PII)
(preliminary figure) rose by 1.6 per cent, improving
from the last quarter. Indicators in the equipment and
machinery category and the construction category both
showed improvement. In September 2006, the trade balance
registered a surplus of 1.4 billion US dollars, rising
from the previous month. Export value totaled 11.8 billion
US dollars, growing by 14.5 per cent year-on-year on
the back of the exports in high-tech industries such
as electronics, vehicles, steel products and petroleum
products. Import value was at 10.4 billion US dollars,
growing by 9.1 per cent year-on-year in line with the
import of products in the energy sector, petroleum products,
metal, chemical, integrated circuit boards, computer
parts and machinery. The services and transfers account
recorded a deficit of 227 million US dollars in line
with the tourism revenue which saw a slowdown from the
previous month as tourists were concerned for the political
uncertainty in the country. In addition, expenditure
on investment returns rose from the previous month due
to this period being the usual time of income transfer
and dividend payment. Consequently, the current account
recorded a surplus of 1.2 billion US dollars while the
balance of payments was in surplus by 2.6 billion US
dollars. International reserves at end-September 2006
stood at 61.6 billion US dollars, with a net forward
position of 4.0 billion US dollar.
In the third quarter of 2006, the
trade balance was in surplus by 1.5 billion US dollars.
Export value registered at 34.6 billion US dollars,
rising by 16.3 per cent while import value totaled 33.1
billion US dollars, increasing by 12.2 per cent. The
services and transfers account recorded a surplus of
0.8 billion US dollars and the current account registered
a 2.3 billion US dollar surplus. At the same time, the
balance of payments recorded a surplus of 3.5 billion
US dollars.
At end-September 2006, the monetary
base stood at 786.6 billion baht, expanding by 3.6 per
cent from end-September 2005. In addition, M2, M2a,
M3, and broad money2/ expanded by 8.4, 6.5, 7.5 and
7.9 per cent year-on-year respectively.
Money market interest rates. In September
2006 and up until the period of 1-20 October 2006, both
the 1-day repurchase rate and the overnight interbank
rate were kept stable as there was no change in the
policy rate during the previous two meetings of the
Monetary Policy Committee (6 September and 18 October
2006).
In the third quarter of 2006, the
baht appreciated to an average of 37.69 baht per US
dollar from its average of 38.13 baht per US dollar
in August.
| Current
Account |
| 1.7 |
2006p |
| -3.7 |
2005 |
| 6.9 |
2004 |
| 8.0 |
2003 |
| 7.0 |
2002 |
| 6.2 |
2001 |
| Billion US$ |
Year |
|
| Balance
of Payments |
| 3.0 |
2006p |
| 5.4 |
2005 |
| 5.7 |
2004 |
| 0.1 |
2003 |
| 4.2 |
2002 |
| 1.3 |
2001 |
| Billion US$ |
Year |
|
Source: BOT
|